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	<title>Bam Investor Blog &#187; housing sector</title>
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	<link>http://www.baminvestor.com/blog</link>
	<description>Predictive Analysis of Markets</description>
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		<title>HGX Commentary</title>
		<link>http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/07/hgx-commentary/</link>
		<comments>http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/07/hgx-commentary/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2009 18:03:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>JG Savoldi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bear call]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cover home builder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HGX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hgx went vertical]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing sector]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing sector commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[most bearish]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=450</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Back in May I told you all that the HGX Index was the most bearish index on the board and that I thought it was ironic that the index that started the entire 2007-2008 debacle looked as if it would be the first back through the March lows.</p>
<p> Shortly after that bear call, the HGX gave-back a full 50% of the gains (off the March lows) but it then generated some unexpected bullish near-term data so I told you all to &#8220;cover home builder shorts.&#8221;</p>
<p> That idea worked out as the HGX went verticle last week and individual stocks blasted 30-40% higher in 4-6 sessions but the HGX is now bearish again and I want to put back out all home builder shorts. (HGX currently at 93.72)</p>
<p> The model expects a severe plunge in the HGX into 7-30 near-term and I&#8217;ll update after that.</p>
<p> I&#8217;m not trying to trade these things but, like I said, assuming the market tracks the BAM Model&#8211;this is going to be a wild summer.</p>
<p> -JGS</p>
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