Comments on: Why Finding The Catalyst Of A Market Crash Is Usually A Mystery http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/ Predictive Analysis of Markets Tue, 10 Nov 2009 03:35:34 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: Victor Zikeman http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-173 Victor Zikeman Wed, 21 Oct 2009 14:51:30 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-173 Edward, EW does not work for trading. I have'nt met a person yet who makes money TRADING EW. It's great After the fact. Period Edward,
EW does not work for trading. I have’nt met a person yet who makes money TRADING EW.
It’s great After the fact. Period

]]> By: Victor Zikeman http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-171 Victor Zikeman Wed, 21 Oct 2009 14:45:33 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-171 Where's the CRASH??? Market just hit a yearly HIGH. Where’s the CRASH??? Market just hit a yearly HIGH.

]]> By: edward baptiste http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-170 edward baptiste Wed, 21 Oct 2009 13:49:12 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-170 75.103 appeared to be a good possible low for the $ Index to have completed 5th of the diagonal. I rallied to the top of a small wedge to75.763 in 3 waves and lo to behold like clockwork, a sell off testing the low is taking place momentarily just as the Fed & Treasury was there to stop any rise in the INDEX. Paranoid? I don't think so. Will check back when I see a reversal up and concomitant decline in the euro and aussie. 75.103 appeared to be a good possible low for the $ Index to have completed 5th of the diagonal. I rallied to the top of a small wedge to75.763 in 3 waves and lo to behold like clockwork, a sell off testing the low is taking place momentarily just as the Fed & Treasury was there to stop any rise in the INDEX. Paranoid? I don’t think so. Will check back when I see a reversal up and concomitant decline in the euro and aussie.

]]> By: edward baptiste http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-167 edward baptiste Tue, 20 Oct 2009 16:06:31 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-167 My last post was calling for another move in the Emini to new highs which was accomplished. It was the aussie, euro, $ Index which was the calatyst in making new highs, Having accomplised producing a poss/probable CIT in the $ Index after new lows at the close of biz in the US yest after. noon. Obviously, ztrength is need in the $ Index firstly above 76.00 which should propel short covering. In achieving or exceeding 77.47.5 is the area which would cause panoc short covering and conocomitant declines in equities, commodities and gold. My last post was calling for another move in the Emini to new highs which was accomplished. It was the aussie, euro, $ Index which was the calatyst in making new highs, Having accomplised producing a poss/probable CIT in the $ Index after new lows at the close of biz in the US yest after. noon. Obviously, ztrength is need in the $ Index firstly above 76.00 which should propel short covering. In achieving or exceeding 77.47.5 is the area which would cause panoc short covering and conocomitant declines in equities, commodities and gold.

]]> By: Frodulf http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-166 Frodulf Tue, 20 Oct 2009 12:53:46 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-166 It's amazing how wrong your forecasts look like now.... It’s amazing how wrong your forecasts look like now….

]]> By: Sal http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-165 Sal Tue, 20 Oct 2009 01:22:39 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-165 Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman is depression expert. His Ph. D work was on great depression. So he will use all and or any Pansy scheme to avert the stock market crash. Every facet of economy is crashed and equity market is the only thing they have left to keep on propping. People (consumers) are loosing jobs, homes (some cities now have tent cities for them. Sacramento and Seattle is couple of them), banks are ripping off the depositors and debtors. I believe Goldman Sac and JP Morgan will go down in history of finance for greatest crooks and Government insiders. At this time they will keep it up but who knows one day they will decide to pull the plug and market will go down and stock prices will adjust to their true value SP at 70ish. Yes 70ish it is not a typo. Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman is depression expert. His Ph. D work was on great depression. So he will use all and or any Pansy scheme to avert the stock market crash. Every facet of economy is crashed and equity market is the only thing they have left to keep on propping. People (consumers) are loosing jobs, homes (some cities now have tent cities for them. Sacramento and Seattle is couple of them), banks are ripping off the depositors and debtors. I believe Goldman Sac and JP Morgan will go down in history of finance for greatest crooks and Government insiders. At this time they will keep it up but who knows one day they will decide to pull the plug and market will go down and stock prices will adjust to their true value SP at 70ish. Yes 70ish it is not a typo.

]]> By: Mark http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-164 Mark Tue, 20 Oct 2009 00:50:06 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-164 It has been stated that the market will have a not reason to turn down as long as investors are convinced that earnings in 2010 are going to return to 2007 levels, which at present, seems to be the case. As we saw in July with the 2nd quarter earnings releases, the 3rd quarter earnings releases are continuing to propel the markets to higher ground. There will need to be a "negative catalyst" or major unforeseen event that will be necessary to shake investors current level of complacency with regard the to high stock prices. It seems your whole call for a "crash" has come down to this for the Fed, the MSM and the total arsenal of the US Treasury are determined to prevent just that. It has been stated that the market will have a not reason to turn down as long as investors are convinced that earnings in 2010 are going to return to 2007 levels, which at present, seems to be the case. As we saw in July with the 2nd quarter earnings releases, the 3rd quarter earnings releases are continuing to propel the markets to higher ground. There will need to be a “negative catalyst” or major unforeseen event that will be necessary to shake investors current level of complacency with regard the to high stock prices. It seems your whole call for a “crash” has come down to this for the Fed, the MSM and the total arsenal of the US Treasury are determined to prevent just that.

]]> By: odelys http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-163 odelys Mon, 19 Oct 2009 20:58:25 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-163 I bet everything I have that this crash will not happen. Sentiment is far too bearish overall.... I bet everything I have that this crash will not happen.

Sentiment is far too bearish overall….

]]> By: edward baptiste http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-161 edward baptiste Mon, 19 Oct 2009 05:11:45 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-161 I posted above about the emini having completed 5 waves and to expect another 5waves; That has been accomplished by going to1076.25. Unfortunately that constitutes an ABC. Also both the euro and aussie $ did the same thing. This is another disappointing attempt to crash. We'll be monitoring possibilities. So many technicals indicating the possibilities/probabilities for a crash;for now it may try moving up a bit. I posted above about the emini having completed 5 waves and to expect another 5waves; That has been accomplished by going to1076.25. Unfortunately that constitutes an ABC. Also both the euro and aussie $ did the same thing. This is another disappointing attempt to crash. We’ll be monitoring possibilities. So many technicals indicating the possibilities/probabilities for a crash;for now it may try moving up a bit.

]]> By: b_____ http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/2009/10/why-finding-the-catalyst-of-a-market-crash-is-always-a-mystery/comment-page-1/#comment-160 b_____ Mon, 19 Oct 2009 01:42:17 +0000 http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/?p=696#comment-160 I believe you were a week early in your call. Futures pointing to .......a crash? to early to say, but weaker open none the less. I believe you were a week early in your call. Futures pointing to …….a crash? to early to say, but weaker open none the less.

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